Blurple Ripple in 3,2,1...
 

Barring any black swans that might fly over and shit all over everything like last time, I'm feeling pretty sanguine about Dems taking the House. That's something, at least. Maybe I've been watching too much MSNBC.

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Why it gotta be a black swan? That's racist!

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Now is the time when I can no longer conceal the ulterior motive for starting this thread.

Time to get down to the real nitty gritty. Look at the dude! What is that?

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:twilightzone:

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I'll allow it.

:hotmoves:

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That song was stuck in my head for months. Seemed like a good election day theme song. That video was like double bonus.

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Bluh. MSNBC said exit polls in GA and FL had Trump favorable at 51% or something like that. Dem's stayed home? :sadno:

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Well, 538 has this:

Trump’s Approval Rating Is Up. Republican House Chances Are Down. Does That Make Any Sense? | FiveThirtyEight

IDK. Gotta go back to work. I'll see how things turn out soon enough I guess.

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">It feels like all of America is awaiting the results of a biopsy.</p>&mdash; Jena Friedman (@JenaFriedman) <a href="https://twitter.com/JenaFriedman/status/1059668252937338880?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 6, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Seems accurate.

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I was definitely watching too much MSNBC. I'm thinking blurple ripple was a pretty fair description.

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The house front and Governor races are going much better than I thought they would. I gues it could be a blue wave? Wavelet? Still bummed about Gillum and Abrams. Senate I think we all knew was a lost cause. Looks like Scott Walker has a good chance of finally getting gone. Sweet! I'm really surprised how well things are going out west. Kansas going democratic governor? Wow! Colorado gay governor? How about a gay NA lady out west?

At the very least, let the investigations begin! Will that count as a biopsy? :brainsurgery:

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This could be yuge in the future. Florida to let felons vote. Look how close the governor and senate races were, with a point or two. Remember Bush V Gore?

In Major Win for Voting Rights, Florida Ends Nation's Largest Felon Disenfranchisement Law | Alternet

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Mixed results tonight for sure, but worth remembering this:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en-gb"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Tonight, Dems will take about 33 House seats with a popular vote win of +9.2%.<br><br>In 2010, Republicans took 63 House seats with a popular vote win of +7.2%.<br><br>The difference: Gerrymandering<br><br>Remember this when pundits try to downplay what Dems accomplished tonight. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/ElectionNight?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#E lectionNight</a></p>&mdash; Ess (@ScottyLiterati) <a href="https://twitter.com/ScottyLiterati/status/1060029818769682432?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">7 November 2018</a></blockquote>
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Also, HOW THE FUCK DID STEVE KING WIN?! WTF is wrong with IOWA?

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Well done Colorado.

Democrat Jared Polis wins Colorado governor race: first openly gay person elected governor - Vox

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en-gb"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Ok, one last thing. Don’t listen to people who say that this wasn’t a good night for Democrats. If you were on a hot date and thought you were gonna fuck all night, but instead got great oral and a promise to see each other again, would you be sad?</p>&mdash; The Rude Pundit (@rudepundit) <a href="https://twitter.com/rudepundit/status/1060033543261380613?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">7 November 2018</a></blockquote>
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A lot of the disappointment comes down to what expectations were/hopes (there was a chance Democrats would outperform the polls, after all), the Senate, and losses in a few high profile races (Florida and Georgia foremost, but Texas Sen and Ohio Gov would count too).

Overall we're looking at:

• Yes, losses in the Senate, probably net of 2-3 gain for GOP
• But we gain House control, 30-39 seat swing to the Democrats, which is actually means it will probably come in just slightly below 538's model's prediction (so expectations were actually pretty much met in that regard)
• 7 governor seats flipped (with CT left to be called, possible GOP flip but Dem leads narrowly) (also this meant defeating Scott Walker and Kris Kobach)
• Several trifectas gained - IL, NY, CO, NV, NM, ME
• Obviously, many gains in state legislatures
• Anti-gerrymandering referenda passed in multiple states
• Automatic voter registration and similar voting reforms passed in multiple states
• Felon disenfranchisement largely ended in Florida, increasing eligible voters by 1.5 million
• Marijuana legalized in Michigan
• Medicaid expansion leads in multiple state referenda (and as a result of new governors, will also go ahead in KS and ME)

There are other things that went well.

Overall, pretty good results that will cause significant problems for Trump and enable some important changes, even if I really would've liked to see Abrams or Gillum win, or better results in the Senate.

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Our friend was over last night for dinner and election results, and the term 'blurple ripple' came up. I even credited you, probably as "some internet guy."

I tried not to have too many expectations or pay attention to projections, so I'm OK with how it came out. Colorado came out pretty well.

I was very pleasantly surprised that our stupid secretary of state lost. He'd been getting a whole lot of glowing press about our elections being the most secure in the nation or something once the votes have been submitted, and it was like everyone forgot about how he ran his campaign on disenfranchising voters and how he was first in line to suck up to Kris Kobach. It never even occurred to me that he might actually lose, but then he did!

Our new governor elect is currently our representative, and I'm pretty done with him, so I'm looking forward to his replacement. Matlock likes the new guy, so I'm taking his word for some reason. Polis was the lesser of two evils in the governor race. He's good, I voted for him in the general election (not the primary), and I'm glad he won over the stupid crazy guy. He's just not my favorite. I'm glad he's won and that's over so I can start complaining about him more openly.

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I worked a phone bank for Beto and gave his campaign a little money, so I'm torn between being glad I didn't invest more and feeling guilty for not investing more.

Otherwise, this captures my mood effectively:

If the midterms were a test of the country’s character, Americans failed - The Globe and Mail

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Just poppin in to say, I hope somewhere Scarlatti is smiling about the large dusty bootmark on Scott Walker's ass.

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I think the US is just too big and too diverse to have anything approaching a 'national character.' The larger a group gets, the lower the lowest common denominator. We're too big to have any real defining characteristic that's not dumbed down to the point of absurdity.

The US is just too big to be anything but stupid.

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COME BACK CLUTCH MUNNY.

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That was a bright light in the evening! Getting Rauner out of Illinois was nice, too - although being replaced by another billionaire isn't exactly the best outcome.

I was looking through the local races in Washington State, and the bifurcated nature of the state is very obvious - the coastal area is mostly blue and got bluer, Eastern Washington is red and mostly stayed red. My daughter moved her voting location to her college address, but it looks like that didn't swing the result.

I'm still disappointed about the Senate, mostly because the Senate has more power to check the President. The GOP has abandoned any pretense of oversight so Trump will not be as constrained as I would like. I expect more judicial office stuffing and DeVos-quality appointments in the next 2 years.

I also don't think that Romney will be anything other than the weak-willed, morphing POS he's always been, so I don't think his past opposition to Trump will amount to a hill of beans now.

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Some other sweet morsels were seeing Ryan just give up before the fight and seeing the effect of Pennsylvania's unmandering on the house race. Even though they held Ryan's seat, I'm pretty sure Ryan was just being a babby and couldn't bear seeing Pelosi take the gavel, despite this patent bullshit.

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Tester wins senate in Montana? Democrat Jon Tester wins Montana Senate race, defeating Matt Rosendale - Vox

Still waiting for provisional and mail ins to be counted in my house district, NJ3.