In more evidence that Democrats are DOOOOOMED and how Watser is an expert at US politics and the path to victory is through adopting his policy preferences...
Democrat Conor Lamb appears to have won the special election in Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, pending a final count of the outstanding absentee ballots (not numerous) and a potential recount.
Even if the Republican manages to win by the skin of his teeth, this is a district that Trump won by 20 pts and Mitt Romney won by 17 pts.
This is basically consistent with the special election results so far (I mean, a Democrat won Alabama). It's unlikely the Democrats do as well in November as in these special elections for a few reasons. First of all, special elections are all open seats, and in November it will mostly be incumbents (although as more Republicans retire, the better it is for Democrats). And secondly, turnout variation can be more extreme in special elections. But based on history it's not going to be a huge decline, which is what the GOP would need.
In other words, Democrats...