Another highlight this week, finding out what happens when you ask Alexa to translate “Boris Johnson carrots 100” into Welsh. pic.twitter.com/4z3uCy9J6i
— Rachael Swindon #ReachOverTheNoise (@Rachael_Swindon) 16 August 2019
Operation Yellowhammer - we'll be hearing more of that name. It is, by the way, an anagram of Orwell mayhem as bird lovers have long known. I'm sure that's a complete coincidence.
“reasonable worst-case scenarios” (RWCS) - I guess we'll be hearing more of this too.
Quote:
The documents predict severe extended delays to medicine supplies and shortages of some fresh foods combined with price rises as a likely scenario if the UK leaves without a withdrawal agreement, which is due to happen on 31 October.
...
The dossier, codenamed Operation Yellowhammer and compiled this month, found up to 85% of lorries using the main channel crossings “may not be ready” for French customs and could face queues of 2.5 days, the Sunday Times reported.
Medical supplies will “be vulnerable to severe extended delays” as three-quarters of the UK’s medicines enter the country via the main Channel crossings and the availability of fresh food will be reduced and prices will rise, which could hit “vulnerable groups”.
The government also believes the return of a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland will be likely as current plans to avoid widespread checks will prove unsustainable.
A senior Whitehall source told the paper: “This is not Project Fear – this is the most realistic assessment of what the public face with no deal. These are likely, basic, reasonable scenarios – not the worst case.”
May it please the court, I am sure that the members of Monty Python would like to remind everyone in Finland that their country has long been admired in the (for now) United Kingdom. On their behalf, and with the authority vested in me by possessing an account on a small medium-sized message board that no one links to, I hereby submit the following ditty as Exhibit A:
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Cēterum cēnseō factiōnem Rēpūblicānam dēlendam esse īgnī ferrōque.
“All for ourselves, and nothing for other people, seems, in every age of the world, to have been the vile maxim of the masters of mankind.” -Adam Smith
I am not even a lawyer, let alone a constitutional one, but my guess is that it won't happen. Here's why ...
It's about Johnson keeping up the pretence that the "nuclear option" of Britain leaving without any deal is still on the table. His hardliners, while their appetite for a "clean break" is genuine, would none the less prefer a favourable deal with no "backstop". They seem to be convinced that the EU's insistance on the backstop will falter in the final minutes of negotiations provided the UK keeps its nerve. (But the final minutes were back in May, I hear you cry! Well, yes, except the extension that was then granted can be seen as the EU blinking first, and then asking for another go.)
Think of it as a game of chicken. Boris is holding his car firmly on track, and Tusk et al are doing the same. If neither side balks we get no deal and economic collapse on all fronts. That is the game Johnson and his crew think they are playing.
Now, Johnson's airing of his plan to ask the Queen to prorogue parliament is just him trying to tell the EU "Make no mistake, we're still in the game of chicken", in case they get the impression that Corbyn's team have hold of some kind of brake (which they do).
So the question is, will Johnson be able to persuade the Queen to back him up? Does the Queen like playing chicken?
My guess is no, she doesn't and no, he won't.
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... it's just an idea
Last edited by mickthinks; 08-28-2019 at 12:19 PM.