[JoeP]

Time for a new thread. No more referendums on Brexit, no more elections about Brexit for the short term.

No more interminable juggling of minority parties in Parliament to make any kind of progress, all of it calculated by each party only on whether it will increase that party's power and not on the actual policies. Bozo has won that battle.

Now, all he has to do is Get Brexit Done. And that's a brilliant slogan, which his opponents can and should throw back at him on 1st Feb 2020 (when Britain will be out of the EU but Brexit will not be DONE), and on 1st Jan 2021 (when the interim period will have expired or been extended but Brexit will not be DONE).

Now, it's all up to the Conservatives, minus the ERG and their no-deal fantasies. No excuses for not delivering a good deal, no one else to blame.

So ...

Will this government serve a full term? Yes, not necessarily a full 5 years if they sensibly move the election back to the traditional May, but still 4+ years - most likely May 2024.

Will Britain leave the EU on 31st Jan 2020? Very likely.

Will anything change then? Not really, the interim period starts.

Will a deal ever be reached with the EU that is better than membership? No, but that opinion is what divides the nationalists from the rest of us.

Will any kind of deal be reached by 31st Dec 2020 and will the interim period end then? Unlikely. If there is a deal it will be partial and negotiations will continue.

Will Northern Ireland be a seamless part of the UK? No, that's already been compromised.

Will there be a referendum on Scottish independence? There'll be a campaign, and a constitutional crisis as Bozo obstructs it.

Are there any substantive arguments for Scotland remaining part of the UK that are not also arguments for Britain remaining part of the EU? Land border? N/A. Biggest trading partner? Ahem. Common currency and a longer history of union are about the only things.